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Philip E. Tetlock
Leadership & Management
Canadian-American political psychologist, Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania, known for research on prediction and co-leading The Good Judgment Project.
Biography
Philip Eyrikson Tetlock (born March 2, 1954) is a Canadian-American political psychologist and writer. He is the Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania, cross‑appointed at the Wharton School and the School of Arts and Sciences. He was elected a Member of the American Philosophical Society in 2019.
Tetlock has written several non-fiction books at the intersection of psychology, political science and organizational behavior, and he is co-principal investigator of The Good Judgment Project, a multi-year study of the feasibility of improving the accuracy of probability judgments about high-stakes, real-world events.
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Books by Philip E. Tetlock

Superforecasting
Superforecasting reports findings from a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament, showing that some ordinary people—"superforecasters"—made remarkably accurate probability judgments, outperforming benchmarks, competitors, prediction markets, and even intelligence analysts; the book explains what makes them good and how others can learn from them.